The session closed with the algos reflecting a drawdown of -1.89%, translating to a net loss of $3,457.67 from the cumulative total P&L of $179,866.98. The win rate dipped slightly to 53.7%, as the algorithms executed 67 trades and faced a gross profit of $8,767.50, against a more significant gross loss of -$12,225.17. This resulted in a profit factor of just 0.72, indicating the challenging conditions traders navigated today.
Market sentiment remains predominantly negative, influenced by geopolitical tensions with Iran, where reports of missile strikes have unnerved traders. Elsewhere, data releases including Core CPI, which is expected to show stability at 0.2%, are drawing attention ahead of the Fed Chairman's testimony that could provide further direction for monetary policy. The upcoming Core PPI report is expected to shed more light on inflationary pressures, with forecasts predicting minimal change.
Traders noted that the AI regime suggests a low volatility environment with a strong confidence level of 100.0%. Historically, the average return during this mid-year trading period tends to be positive at +0.67%, but with a modest win rate of 58% based on historical data. This delivery of mixed market signals is affecting algorithmic strategies presently in play, as certain trade timeframes have been recommended for restriction due to poor performance metrics.
Looking ahead, the algorithms are monitoring the potential impact of the ongoing geopolitical situation and macroeconomic data, with particular focus on the earnings report from NFLX scheduled for July 16 and tightening inflation figures expected to influence market decisions.
